Data screening and stage shifts
All 687 patients were primarily surgically treated and diagnosed with EC by surgical pathology at the Gynecology Department of PKUPH from January 2006 to December 2016. We excluded patients who had a history of primary malignant tumours in systems other than the female reproductive system or the breast (n=9), who received treatment earlier than the surgery (n=21), who had been lost to follow-up immediately after the surgery (n=22) and who belonged to FIGO2009 stages III–IV (n=95). Finally, 540 patients were selected for further research (figure 1).
Consolidated Standards of Reporting Trials diagram. EC, endometrial cancer; FIGO, International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics; PKUPH, Peking University People's Hospital.
The 540 patients were restaged according to the FIGO2023 staging. Due to data limitations, we failed to classify ‘substantial’ versus ‘focal’ LVSI according to ‘≥5 vessels involved’. Instead, we relied on the diagnosis strings given by pathologists, such as ‘massive’, ‘extensive’ and ‘numerous’ in the description of LVSI. The cases considered ‘substantial’ LVSI in this study were all of the aggressive histological type and shifted from FIGO2009 stage IA/IB to FIGO2023 stage IIC, resulting in 0 patients categorised as FIGO2023 stage IIB. There were no cases in this study that qualified as low-grade endometrioid carcinomas confined to the uterus and ovaries, and therefore, 0 patients were categorised as FIGO2023 stage IA3. The staging was not adjusted to IAmPOLEmut or IICmp53abn because the molecular typing of the cases was unknown.
A total of 81 stage shifts occurred (figure 2), all of which were stage elevations, including IA–IC (n=9), IA–IIC (n=50) and IB–IIC (n=22). The main shifting trends: cases of FIGO2009 IA stage diverged into FIGO2023 stages IA, IC and IIC; cases of FIGO2009 IA, IB and II stages converged into FIGO2023 IIC stage. According to the FIGO2023 staging, more patients were categorised as stage II (7%→20.37%). As shown in the baseline characteristics (table 1), body mass index, para, breast cancer history, the expression of ER/PR/p53 and Bokhman classification showed significant differences among different substages of FIGO2023, but not of FIGO2009. However, peritoneal cytology showed significant differences among different substages of FIGO2009, but not of FIGO2023.
Stage shifts of cases after restaging according to FIGO2023 staging. FIGO, International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics.
Baseline clinical and pathological characteristics of each FIGO2009/FIGO2023 substage (n=540)
Comparing oncological outcomes of stage I/II under two staging systems
The median follow-up time for all 540 patients was 75 months (ranging from 3 to 190 months). In total, there were 25 recurrences and 17 deaths (including 10 cancer-specific deaths). The difference of OS between new stages I and II was more significant (figure 3 and online supplemental table 1).
In univariate analyses, age ≥60 years, histological grade G3, LVSI, negative ER, negative PR, positive p53, LMD and FIGO2023 stage II were associated with OS. Among them, the HR of FIGO2023 stage II relative to FIGO2023 stage I is 4.133, while the HR is 2.344 for FIGO2009. All the factors that demonstrated statistical significance above were incorporated into the multivariate analysis. The independent risk factors influencing OS were obtained to be age ≥60 years, negative ER and LMD. As for DFS, age ≥60 years, histological grade G3, negative ER, negative PR and LMD were incorporated into the multivariate analysis, and the independent risk factors were also age ≥60 years, negative ER and LMD (table 2).
Kaplan-Meier analysis of OS and DFS of old and new staging systems (n=540). OS (A) and DFS (B) in the study cohort according to FIGO2009 staging; OS (C) and DFS (D) in the study cohort according to FIGO2023 staging. DFS, disease-free survival; FIGO, International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics; OS, overall survival.
Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses of factors influencing OS/DFS (n=540)
Comparing oncological outcomes of shifting subgroups at FIGO2009 stage IA and FIGO2023 stage IIC
411 patients were enrolled in FIGO2009 stage IA, of which 352 remained in FIGO2023 stage IA, 9 shifted to FIGO2023 stage IC and 50 shifted to FIGO2023 stage IIC. 85 patients were enrolled in FIGO2023 stage IIC, with 13 from FIGO2009 stage II, 50 from FIGO2009 stage IA and 22 from FIGO2009 stage IB. The K-M curves of OS in different shifting subgroups of FIGO2009 stage IA tended to separate, whereas OS and DFS of FIGO2023 stage IIC tended to overlap (figure 4).
Kaplan-Meier analysis of shifting subgroups of FIGO2009 stage IA cases and FIGO2023 stage IIC cases. OS (A) and DFS (B) of patients shifting from FIGO2009 stage IA to FIGO2023 stage IA, IC and IIC (n=411); OS (C) and DFS (D) of patients shifting from FIGO2009 stage IA, IB and II to FIGO2023 stage IIC (n=85). DFS, disease-free survival; FIGO, International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics; OS, overall survival.
For cases of FIGO2023 stage IIC, age ≥60 years and LMD were associated with OS in univariate analyses. LMD was the independent risk factor influencing OS, and also the only risk factor influencing DFS (table 3).
Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses of factors influencing OS/DFS in FIGO2023 stage IIC (n=85)
Association between prognosis and lesion size
Lesion size was closely related to prognosis in all 540 patients and in 85 FIGO2023 stage IIC patients. Using LMD as a stratification factor, we compared the OS and DFS of FIGO2023 stage I/II patients at different cut-off values (2, 3, 4, 5 and 6 cm) (online supplemental table 2). The difference between OS/DFS was statistically significant when the cut-off value was 4/5/6 cm in FIGO2023 stage II patients, suggesting that the LMD may further indicate prognosis. The ROC curves showed that the LMD=5.70 cm was the optimal cut-off value for predicting death and recurrence (online supplemental figure 1). The cut-off value of LMD=5.70 cm successfully further distinguished the OS and DFS of FIGO2023 stage IIC patients (figure 5).
Kaplan-Meier analysis of OS/DFS in FIGO2023 stage II cases with LMD=5.70 cm as the cut-off value. OS (A) and DFS (B) in FIGO2023 stage IIC patients with LMD=5.70 cm as the cut-off value. DFS, disease-free survival; FIGO, International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics; LMD, lesion maximum diameter; OS, overall survival.